Forest-based Employment in the Southern United States Under Climate Change: Historical Impacts and Future Projections
Summary
Projects how climate change will affect forest-sector employment across the US South, combining historical analysis with future projections under multiple climate scenarios.
Abstract
The forest sector is a major employer in the southern United States, but climate change threatens to alter forest productivity and the industries that depend on it. This study combines historical analysis of climate impacts on forest-based employment with future projections under multiple climate scenarios.
Why It Matters
Understanding climate impacts on forest employment is critical for:
- Rural economic development planning in the South
- Workforce transition and training programs
- Climate adaptation strategies for forest-dependent communities
- Policy decisions on forest management and conservation
Key Findings
- Climate variables have historically influenced forest-sector employment in the South
- Future climate scenarios produce varying employment trajectories across the region
- Some areas face significant employment risks under high-warming scenarios
- Results highlight the need for proactive workforce planning in forest-dependent communities
Citation
Lamica, A., Parajuli, R., & Mihiar, C. (2025). Forest-based employment in the Southern United States under climate change: Historical impacts and future projections. Forest Science, 71(3), 303-320. https://doi.org/10.1093/forsci/fxae047